Tuesday, March 24, 2009

Rate Drop??



Above is a 5 day snapshot of treasury yields. This used to be a good barometer of where the rates would go. 5 days ago was when the Fed said they where going to buy up assets over the next few months. The yield tanked and everyone called to see about this huge rate drop they heard about. As you can see, the yield when right back up and the low rates lasted no more than 24 hours.

Today, the same thing happened only later in the day. I can see rates being lower tomorrow and then going back up. I think gradually rates will come down slightly, but not overnight. The yield has been creeping up over the past few weeks but rates have stayed in the 5% range. Now that the yield is going down, I don't see why there would be a massive rate cut, since there wasn't one on the way up.

The main lesson to be learned is, what I've been preaching to so many, to get your loan in and let's get it going through processing. We can set a goal and when the rates hit that goal we are able to lock. Lenders are swamped and overloaded. From a time frame standpoint it's very hard to get loans closed in 30 days. If we can get the loan in, get it underwritten and then be ready to move when the rates do, we'll be much more successful than to wait until the rates get to where we want and then start the process.

As you can see, a rate might only be available for a moment or two.

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